Smith or Ajayi?
On projected points alone, Ajayi is ahead by 17.2 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Smith
Bournemouth · DEF · £4.5m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 9.6
- Chance of starting
- 87%
- Owned by
- 0.1%
- Points this season
- 2
- Minutes
- 270
Ajayi
Hull City · DEF · £4.1m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 26.8
- Chance of starting
- 86%
- Owned by
- 12.0%
- Points this season
- 25
- Minutes
- 243
The answer nobody else gives you
Smith is owned by 0.1% of managers, against 12.0% for Ajayi.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Smith | Ajayi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.6 | 3.9 | −2.3 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 4.3 | −2.7 |
| 6 | 1.6 | 4.6 | −3.0 |
| 7 | 1.6 | 4.3 | −2.7 |
| 8 | 1.6 | 4.6 | −3.0 |
| 9 | 1.6 | 5.0 | −3.4 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them