Maitland-Niles or Calafiori?

On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 7.3 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Maitland-Niles

Everton · DEF · £4.5m

Projected, next 6 GW
14.5
Chance of starting
58%
Owned by
1.5%
Points this season
26
Minutes
308

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m

Hip injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
21.8
Chance of starting
71%
Owned by
53.2%
Points this season
45
Minutes
609

The answer nobody else gives you

Maitland-Niles is owned by 1.5% of managers, against 53.2% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Maitland-Niles and Calafiori by gameweek
GWMaitland-NilesCalafioriDifference
92.33.3−1.0
102.64.2−1.6
112.33.6−1.3
122.33.5−1.2
132.33.6−1.3
142.63.6−1.0

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Maitland-Niles or Calafiori? FPL comparison · Overtake