OVERTAKE

Fredrick or Calafiori?

On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 21.0 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Fredrick

Brentford · DEF · £4.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
8.5
Chance of starting
57%
Owned by
0.0%
Points this season
0
Minutes
0

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £5.8m

Projected, next 6 GW
29.5
Chance of starting
91%
Owned by
50.7%
Points this season
28
Minutes
326

The answer nobody else gives you

Fredrick is owned by 0.0% of managers, against 50.7% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Fredrick and Calafiori by gameweek
GWFredrickCalafioriDifference
61.45.5−4.1
71.44.7−3.3
81.55.0−3.5
91.44.3−2.8
101.45.5−4.1
111.44.7−3.2

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.28 points per player per gameweek over the last 4. How we calculate them

Fredrick or Calafiori? FPL comparison · Overtake