Thomas or Calafiori?
On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 5.4 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Thomas
Coventry City · DEF · £4.0m
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 14.3
- Chance of starting
- 70%
- Owned by
- 9.3%
- Points this season
- 32
- Minutes
- 676
Calafiori
Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m
Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.7
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 51.2%
- Points this season
- 45
- Minutes
- 609
The answer nobody else gives you
Thomas is owned by 9.3% of managers, against 51.2% for Calafiori.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Thomas | Calafiori | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2.4 | 3.0 | −0.5 |
| 10 | 2.3 | 3.8 | −1.5 |
| 11 | 2.6 | 3.3 | −0.7 |
| 12 | 2.3 | 3.2 | −0.9 |
| 13 | 2.6 | 3.3 | −0.7 |
| 14 | 2.2 | 3.3 | −1.1 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them