Johnson or Mbeumo?

On projected points alone, Mbeumo is ahead by 24.4 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Johnson

Everton · MID · £5.8m

Projected, next 6 GW
10.6
Chance of starting
59%
Owned by
0.1%
Points this season
14
Minutes
379

Mbeumo

Man Utd · MID · £7.9m

Projected, next 6 GW
35.0
Chance of starting
96%
Owned by
21.8%
Points this season
43
Minutes
720

Set-piece taker

The answer nobody else gives you

Johnson is owned by 0.1% of managers, against 21.8% for Mbeumo.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Johnson and Mbeumo by gameweek
GWJohnsonMbeumoDifference
91.75.1−3.4
101.96.1−4.2
111.75.1−3.4
121.76.1−4.4
131.75.7−4.0
141.96.8−4.9

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Johnson or Mbeumo? FPL comparison · Overtake