OVERTAKE

Mbeumo or Garner?

On projected points alone, Mbeumo is ahead by 25.0 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Mbeumo

Man Utd · MID · £7.9m

Projected, next 6 GW
35.7
Chance of starting
92%
Owned by
24.3%
Points this season
21
Minutes
270

Set-piece taker

Garner

Everton · MID · £6.0m

Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
10.7
Chance of starting
50%
Owned by
0.1%
Points this season
4
Minutes
148

Set-piece taker

The answer nobody else gives you

Garner is owned by 0.1% of managers, against 24.3% for Mbeumo.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Mbeumo and Garner by gameweek
GWMbeumoGarnerDifference
45.71.8+4.0
55.92.0+3.9
66.41.9+4.5
75.91.7+4.2
86.41.5+4.9
95.31.8+3.6

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Mbeumo or Garner? FPL comparison · Overtake