Mosquera or Gabriel?

On projected points alone, Gabriel is ahead by 28.3 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Mosquera

Arsenal · DEF · £5.2m

Projected, next 6 GW
6.9
Chance of starting
31%
Owned by
1.2%
Points this season
12
Minutes
168

Gabriel

Arsenal · DEF · £7.9m

Projected, next 6 GW
35.2
Chance of starting
96%
Owned by
22.9%
Points this season
52
Minutes
720

The answer nobody else gives you

Mosquera is owned by 1.2% of managers, against 22.9% for Gabriel.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Mosquera and Gabriel by gameweek
GWMosqueraGabrielDifference
91.15.3−4.2
101.36.9−5.6
111.15.8−4.7
121.15.7−4.5
131.15.8−4.7
141.15.8−4.7

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them