Burn or Tarkowski?
On projected points alone, Tarkowski is ahead by 28.9 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Burn
Newcastle · DEF · £4.8m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 1.9
- Chance of starting
- 11%
- Owned by
- 0.7%
- Points this season
- 8
- Minutes
- 92
Tarkowski
Everton · DEF · £6.2m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 30.8
- Chance of starting
- 94%
- Owned by
- 18.4%
- Points this season
- 48
- Minutes
- 720
The answer nobody else gives you
Burn is owned by 0.7% of managers, against 18.4% for Tarkowski.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Burn | Tarkowski | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3 | 4.9 | −4.5 |
| 10 | 0.3 | 5.7 | −5.4 |
| 11 | 0.3 | 4.9 | −4.6 |
| 12 | 0.3 | 4.8 | −4.5 |
| 13 | 0.3 | 4.9 | −4.6 |
| 14 | 0.3 | 5.7 | −5.4 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them