Ballard or Gvardiol?
On projected points alone, Gvardiol is ahead by 9.9 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Ballard
Sunderland · DEF · £4.9m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 18.8
- Chance of starting
- 87%
- Owned by
- 3.3%
- Points this season
- 12
- Minutes
- 270
Gvardiol
Man City · DEF · £5.6m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 28.7
- Chance of starting
- 89%
- Owned by
- 19.9%
- Points this season
- 22
- Minutes
- 254
The answer nobody else gives you
Ballard is owned by 3.3% of managers, against 19.9% for Gvardiol.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Ballard | Gvardiol | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3.0 | 4.2 | −1.2 |
| 5 | 2.6 | 5.4 | −2.7 |
| 6 | 3.4 | 4.2 | −0.7 |
| 7 | 3.0 | 5.4 | −2.3 |
| 8 | 3.4 | 4.2 | −0.7 |
| 9 | 3.3 | 5.4 | −2.1 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them