OVERTAKE

Raya or Matthews?

On projected points alone, Raya is ahead by 20.3 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Raya

Arsenal · GKP · £6.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
23.4
Chance of starting
89%
Owned by
39.0%
Points this season
16
Minutes
289

Matthews

Crystal Palace · GKP · £4.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
3.1
Chance of starting
19%
Owned by
1.7%
Points this season
0
Minutes
0

The answer nobody else gives you

Matthews is owned by 1.7% of managers, against 39.0% for Raya.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Raya and Matthews by gameweek
GWRayaMatthewsDifference
53.70.5+3.2
64.30.5+3.8
73.70.5+3.2
84.00.6+3.4
93.40.5+2.9
104.30.5+3.8

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Raya or Matthews? FPL comparison · Overtake