Rice or Longstaff?

On projected points alone, Rice is ahead by 20.9 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Rice

Arsenal · MID · £7.4m

Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
22.5
Chance of starting
72%
Owned by
12.5%
Points this season
39
Minutes
670

Set-piece taker

Longstaff

Leeds · MID · £4.8m

Projected, next 6 GW
1.6
Chance of starting
10%
Owned by
0.1%
Points this season
4
Minutes
20

The answer nobody else gives you

Longstaff is owned by 0.1% of managers, against 12.5% for Rice.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Rice and Longstaff by gameweek
GWRiceLongstaffDifference
93.40.3+3.1
104.40.3+4.1
113.70.3+3.5
123.60.3+3.3
133.70.2+3.5
143.70.3+3.4

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them