Calvert-Lewin or Thiago?
On projected points alone, Calvert-Lewin is ahead by 3.6 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Calvert-Lewin
Leeds · FWD · £6.1m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 26.5
- Chance of starting
- 95%
- Owned by
- 21.3%
- Points this season
- 35
- Minutes
- 683
Set-piece taker
Thiago
Brentford · FWD · £7.8m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 22.9
- Chance of starting
- 96%
- Owned by
- 8.9%
- Points this season
- 23
- Minutes
- 712
Set-piece taker
The answer nobody else gives you
Thiago is owned by 8.9% of managers, against 21.3% for Calvert-Lewin.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Calvert-Lewin | Thiago | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4.3 | 4.1 | +0.2 |
| 10 | 4.9 | 3.6 | +1.4 |
| 11 | 3.9 | 4.1 | −0.2 |
| 12 | 4.9 | 3.6 | +1.4 |
| 13 | 3.6 | 3.8 | −0.2 |
| 14 | 4.9 | 3.8 | +1.2 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them