Calvert-Lewin or Mateta?

On projected points alone, Calvert-Lewin is ahead by 19.0 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Calvert-Lewin

Leeds · FWD · £6.1m

Projected, next 6 GW
26.5
Chance of starting
95%
Owned by
21.4%
Points this season
35
Minutes
683

Set-piece taker

Mateta

Crystal Palace · FWD · £6.3m

Projected, next 6 GW
7.5
Chance of starting
32%
Owned by
1.2%
Points this season
5
Minutes
152

Set-piece taker

The answer nobody else gives you

Mateta is owned by 1.2% of managers, against 21.4% for Calvert-Lewin.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Calvert-Lewin and Mateta by gameweek
GWCalvert-LewinMatetaDifference
94.31.2+3.0
104.91.2+3.7
113.91.3+2.6
124.91.4+3.5
133.61.1+2.4
144.91.2+3.7

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Calvert-Lewin or Mateta? FPL comparison · Overtake