OVERTAKE

Gabriel or Calafiori?

On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 1.0 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Gabriel

Arsenal · DEF · £8.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
27.9
Chance of starting
93%
Owned by
23.7%
Points this season
24
Minutes
360

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £5.8m

Projected, next 6 GW
28.9
Chance of starting
89%
Owned by
49.4%
Points this season
28
Minutes
326

The answer nobody else gives you

Gabriel is owned by 23.7% of managers, against 49.4% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Gabriel and Calafiori by gameweek
GWGabrielCalafioriDifference
54.44.6−0.1
65.25.4−0.2
74.44.6−0.1
84.74.9−0.2
94.04.2−0.1
105.25.4−0.2

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.30 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Gabriel or Calafiori? FPL comparison · Overtake