Gabriel or Calafiori?

On projected points alone, Gabriel is ahead by 15.5 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Gabriel

Arsenal · DEF · £7.9m

Projected, next 6 GW
35.2
Chance of starting
96%
Owned by
22.7%
Points this season
52
Minutes
720

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m

Hip injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
19.7
Chance of starting
63%
Owned by
51.6%
Points this season
45
Minutes
609

The answer nobody else gives you

Gabriel is owned by 22.7% of managers, against 51.6% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Gabriel and Calafiori by gameweek
GWGabrielCalafioriDifference
95.33.0+2.3
106.93.8+3.1
115.83.3+2.6
125.73.2+2.5
135.83.3+2.6
145.83.3+2.6

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Gabriel or Calafiori? FPL comparison · Overtake