Thiago or Strand Larsen?
On projected points alone, Thiago is ahead by 11.3 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Thiago
Brentford · FWD · £7.8m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 22.9
- Chance of starting
- 96%
- Owned by
- 9.0%
- Points this season
- 23
- Minutes
- 712
Set-piece taker
Strand Larsen
Crystal Palace · FWD · £6.0m
Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 11.6
- Chance of starting
- 55%
- Owned by
- 0.5%
- Points this season
- 21
- Minutes
- 440
The answer nobody else gives you
Strand Larsen is owned by 0.5% of managers, against 9.0% for Thiago.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Thiago | Strand Larsen | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4.1 | 1.9 | +2.2 |
| 10 | 3.6 | 1.9 | +1.7 |
| 11 | 4.1 | 2.0 | +2.1 |
| 12 | 3.6 | 2.1 | +1.4 |
| 13 | 3.8 | 1.8 | +2.0 |
| 14 | 3.8 | 1.9 | +1.9 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them