OVERTAKE

Tarkowski or Murillo?

On projected points alone, Tarkowski is ahead by 5.0 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Tarkowski

Everton · DEF · £6.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
28.4
Chance of starting
89%
Owned by
11.6%
Points this season
22
Minutes
315

Murillo

Nott'm Forest · DEF · £5.5m

Projected, next 6 GW
23.4
Chance of starting
88%
Owned by
1.6%
Points this season
19
Minutes
359

Set-piece taker

The answer nobody else gives you

Murillo is owned by 1.6% of managers, against 11.6% for Tarkowski.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Tarkowski and Murillo by gameweek
GWTarkowskiMurilloDifference
55.34.4+1.0
65.03.8+1.2
74.43.7+0.7
83.74.1−0.3
94.53.8+0.8
105.33.7+1.6

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Tarkowski or Murillo? FPL comparison · Overtake