Tarkowski or Aït-Nouri?

On projected points alone, Tarkowski is ahead by 26.9 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Tarkowski

Everton · DEF · £6.2m

Projected, next 6 GW
28.8
Chance of starting
95%
Owned by
18.4%
Points this season
48
Minutes
720

Aït-Nouri

Man City · DEF · £5.2m

Projected, next 6 GW
1.9
Chance of starting
10%
Owned by
0.4%
Points this season
0
Minutes
0

The answer nobody else gives you

Aït-Nouri is owned by 0.4% of managers, against 18.4% for Tarkowski.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Tarkowski and Aït-Nouri by gameweek
GWTarkowskiAït-NouriDifference
94.60.3+4.2
105.30.3+5.0
114.60.3+4.2
124.50.3+4.2
134.60.3+4.2
145.30.3+5.0

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Tarkowski or Aït-Nouri? FPL comparison · Overtake