OVERTAKE

Souza or Gvardiol?

On projected points alone, Gvardiol is ahead by 28.7 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Souza

Spurs · DEF · £4.0m

Has joined FC Porto on loan for the rest of the season

Projected, next 6 GW
0.0
Chance of starting
0%
Owned by
0.2%
Points this season
0
Minutes
0

Gvardiol

Man City · DEF · £5.6m

Projected, next 6 GW
28.7
Chance of starting
89%
Owned by
19.9%
Points this season
22
Minutes
254

The answer nobody else gives you

Souza is owned by 0.2% of managers, against 19.9% for Gvardiol.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Souza and Gvardiol by gameweek
GWSouzaGvardiolDifference
40.04.2−4.2
50.05.4−5.4
60.04.2−4.2
70.05.4−5.4
80.04.2−4.2
90.05.4−5.4

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them