Gvardiol or Ajer?
On projected points alone, Gvardiol is ahead by 3.2 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Gvardiol
Man City · DEF · £5.7m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 22.3
- Chance of starting
- 74%
- Owned by
- 26.3%
- Points this season
- 42
- Minutes
- 577
Ajer
Brentford · DEF · £4.5m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.1
- Chance of starting
- 94%
- Owned by
- 4.3%
- Points this season
- 32
- Minutes
- 720
The answer nobody else gives you
Ajer is owned by 4.3% of managers, against 26.3% for Gvardiol.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Gvardiol | Ajer | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3.9 | 3.4 | +0.5 |
| 10 | 3.6 | 3.0 | +0.6 |
| 11 | 4.3 | 3.4 | +0.9 |
| 12 | 3.0 | 3.0 | level |
| 13 | 3.9 | 3.1 | +0.8 |
| 14 | 3.6 | 3.1 | +0.5 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them