Gvardiol or Calafiori?
On projected points alone, Gvardiol is ahead by 2.7 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Gvardiol
Man City · DEF · £5.7m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 22.4
- Chance of starting
- 74%
- Owned by
- 27.0%
- Points this season
- 42
- Minutes
- 577
Calafiori
Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m
Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.7
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 52.5%
- Points this season
- 45
- Minutes
- 609
The answer nobody else gives you
Gvardiol is owned by 27.0% of managers, against 52.5% for Calafiori.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Gvardiol | Calafiori | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3.9 | 3.0 | +1.0 |
| 10 | 3.6 | 3.8 | −0.2 |
| 11 | 4.3 | 3.3 | +1.0 |
| 12 | 3.0 | 3.2 | −0.2 |
| 13 | 3.9 | 3.3 | +0.7 |
| 14 | 3.6 | 3.3 | +0.4 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them