Gvardiol or Calafiori?
On projected points they are within 0.6 of each other over six gameweeks — close enough that points are not the thing that should decide it.
Gvardiol
Man City · DEF · £5.6m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 28.7
- Chance of starting
- 89%
- Owned by
- 19.9%
- Points this season
- 22
- Minutes
- 254
Calafiori
Arsenal · DEF · £5.8m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 28.1
- Chance of starting
- 89%
- Owned by
- 48.7%
- Points this season
- 22
- Minutes
- 236
The answer nobody else gives you
Gvardiol is owned by 19.9% of managers, against 48.7% for Calafiori.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Gvardiol | Calafiori | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | −0.4 |
| 5 | 5.4 | 4.6 | +0.8 |
| 6 | 4.2 | 5.4 | −1.2 |
| 7 | 5.4 | 4.6 | +0.8 |
| 8 | 4.2 | 4.9 | −0.7 |
| 9 | 5.4 | 4.2 | +1.2 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them