Matheus N. or Calafiori?
On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 10.1 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Matheus N.
Man City · DEF · £5.9m
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 9.6
- Chance of starting
- 40%
- Owned by
- 0.9%
- Points this season
- 19
- Minutes
- 378
Calafiori
Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m
Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.7
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 51.6%
- Points this season
- 45
- Minutes
- 609
The answer nobody else gives you
Matheus N. is owned by 0.9% of managers, against 51.6% for Calafiori.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Matheus N. | Calafiori | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.7 | 3.0 | −1.3 |
| 10 | 1.6 | 3.8 | −2.3 |
| 11 | 1.8 | 3.3 | −1.5 |
| 12 | 1.3 | 3.2 | −1.8 |
| 13 | 1.7 | 3.3 | −1.6 |
| 14 | 1.6 | 3.3 | −1.7 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them