O'Reilly or Calafiori?
On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 8.8 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
O'Reilly
Man City · DEF · £6.2m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 10.9
- Chance of starting
- 53%
- Owned by
- 8.6%
- Points this season
- 13
- Minutes
- 288
Calafiori
Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m
Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.7
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 52.4%
- Points this season
- 45
- Minutes
- 609
The answer nobody else gives you
O'Reilly is owned by 8.6% of managers, against 52.4% for Calafiori.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | O'Reilly | Calafiori | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.9 | 3.0 | −1.1 |
| 10 | 1.8 | 3.8 | −2.0 |
| 11 | 2.0 | 3.3 | −1.3 |
| 12 | 1.6 | 3.2 | −1.6 |
| 13 | 1.9 | 3.3 | −1.4 |
| 14 | 1.8 | 3.3 | −1.5 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them