Calafiori or Ajayi?
On projected points they are within 0.7 of each other over six gameweeks — close enough that points are not the thing that should decide it.
Calafiori
Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m
Hip injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.7
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 51.7%
- Points this season
- 45
- Minutes
- 609
Ajayi
Hull City · DEF · £4.2m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 19.0
- Chance of starting
- 93%
- Owned by
- 13.0%
- Points this season
- 34
- Minutes
- 693
The answer nobody else gives you
Ajayi is owned by 13.0% of managers, against 51.7% for Calafiori.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Calafiori | Ajayi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3.0 | 3.5 | −0.5 |
| 10 | 3.8 | 2.7 | +1.1 |
| 11 | 3.3 | 3.3 | level |
| 12 | 3.2 | 3.1 | level |
| 13 | 3.3 | 3.3 | level |
| 14 | 3.3 | 3.1 | +0.1 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them