OVERTAKE

Calafiori or Tomiyasu?

On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 21.1 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £5.8m

Projected, next 6 GW
28.1
Chance of starting
89%
Owned by
48.7%
Points this season
22
Minutes
236

Tomiyasu

Crystal Palace · DEF · £4.5m

Projected, next 6 GW
7.0
Chance of starting
42%
Owned by
0.3%
Points this season
2
Minutes
91

The answer nobody else gives you

Tomiyasu is owned by 0.3% of managers, against 48.7% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Calafiori and Tomiyasu by gameweek
GWCalafioriTomiyasuDifference
44.61.2+3.3
54.61.1+3.4
65.41.2+4.2
74.61.1+3.4
84.91.2+3.7
94.21.1+3.0

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Calafiori or Tomiyasu? FPL comparison · Overtake