Calafiori or Harwood-Bellis?

On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 18.1 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m

Hip injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
19.7
Chance of starting
63%
Owned by
51.1%
Points this season
45
Minutes
609

Harwood-Bellis

Aston Villa · DEF · £4.5m

Projected, next 6 GW
1.6
Chance of starting
10%
Owned by
0.0%
Points this season
0
Minutes
0

The answer nobody else gives you

Harwood-Bellis is owned by 0.0% of managers, against 51.1% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Calafiori and Harwood-Bellis by gameweek
GWCalafioriHarwood-BellisDifference
93.00.3+2.7
103.80.3+3.6
113.30.3+3.0
123.20.3+2.9
133.30.3+3.0
143.30.3+3.0

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Calafiori or Harwood-Bellis? FPL comparison · Overtake