Araujo or Castagne?
On projected points alone, Araujo is ahead by 1.1 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Araujo
Liverpool · DEF · £5.5m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 22.5
- Chance of starting
- 78%
- Owned by
- 4.4%
- Points this season
- 44
- Minutes
- 663
Castagne
Fulham · DEF · £4.5m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 21.4
- Chance of starting
- 86%
- Owned by
- 1.2%
- Points this season
- 44
- Minutes
- 750
The answer nobody else gives you
Castagne is owned by 1.2% of managers, against 4.4% for Araujo.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Araujo | Castagne | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 3.8 | 3.0 | +0.8 |
| 12 | 3.6 | 3.8 | −0.2 |
| 13 | 4.2 | 3.6 | +0.6 |
| 14 | 3.3 | 3.6 | −0.3 |
| 15 | 3.8 | 3.8 | level |
| 16 | 3.8 | 3.6 | +0.3 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.13 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them