OVERTAKE

Ajayi or Castagne?

On projected points alone, Ajayi is ahead by 8.2 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Ajayi

Hull City · DEF · £4.2m

Projected, next 6 GW
26.7
Chance of starting
86%
Owned by
12.7%
Points this season
26
Minutes
333

Castagne

Fulham · DEF · £4.5m

Projected, next 6 GW
18.5
Chance of starting
87%
Owned by
0.8%
Points this season
19
Minutes
318

The answer nobody else gives you

Castagne is owned by 0.8% of managers, against 12.7% for Ajayi.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Ajayi and Castagne by gameweek
GWAjayiCastagneDifference
54.32.9+1.5
64.73.1+1.5
74.33.3+1.1
84.73.1+1.5
95.12.8+2.3
103.63.3+0.3

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Ajayi or Castagne? FPL comparison · Overtake