Mbeumo or Caicedo?
On projected points alone, Mbeumo is ahead by 25.6 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Mbeumo
Man Utd · MID · £7.9m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 32.6
- Chance of starting
- 96%
- Owned by
- 21.5%
- Points this season
- 43
- Minutes
- 720
Set-piece taker
Caicedo
Chelsea · MID · £5.3m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 7.0
- Chance of starting
- 42%
- Owned by
- 1.1%
- Points this season
- 8
- Minutes
- 264
The answer nobody else gives you
Caicedo is owned by 1.1% of managers, against 21.5% for Mbeumo.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Mbeumo | Caicedo | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4.8 | 1.1 | +3.7 |
| 10 | 5.7 | 1.1 | +4.6 |
| 11 | 4.8 | 1.2 | +3.6 |
| 12 | 5.7 | 1.1 | +4.6 |
| 13 | 5.3 | 1.2 | +4.1 |
| 14 | 6.3 | 1.1 | +5.1 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them