Welbeck or João Pedro?
On projected points alone, João Pedro is ahead by 19.1 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Welbeck
Chelsea · FWD · £5.8m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 5.3
- Chance of starting
- 24%
- Owned by
- 0.7%
- Points this season
- 7
- Minutes
- 95
João Pedro
Chelsea · FWD · £7.9m
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 24.4
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 71.8%
- Points this season
- 47
- Minutes
- 521
The answer nobody else gives you
Welbeck is owned by 0.7% of managers, against 71.8% for João Pedro.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Welbeck | João Pedro | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | −3.0 |
| 10 | 0.9 | 3.9 | −3.1 |
| 11 | 0.9 | 4.3 | −3.3 |
| 12 | 0.9 | 3.9 | −3.1 |
| 13 | 1.0 | 4.7 | −3.7 |
| 14 | 0.8 | 3.8 | −3.0 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them