Rice or Hjertø-Dahl?

On projected points alone, Rice is ahead by 20.9 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Rice

Arsenal · MID · £7.4m

Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
22.5
Chance of starting
72%
Owned by
12.5%
Points this season
39
Minutes
670

Set-piece taker

Hjertø-Dahl

Hull City · MID · £4.8m

Projected, next 6 GW
1.6
Chance of starting
10%
Owned by
0.0%
Points this season
1
Minutes
8

The answer nobody else gives you

Hjertø-Dahl is owned by 0.0% of managers, against 12.5% for Rice.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Rice and Hjertø-Dahl by gameweek
GWRiceHjertø-DahlDifference
93.40.3+3.1
104.40.2+4.1
113.70.3+3.4
123.60.3+3.4
133.70.3+3.4
143.70.3+3.5

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.20 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them