OVERTAKE

Calvert-Lewin or João Pedro?

On projected points alone, João Pedro is ahead by 11.2 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Calvert-Lewin

Leeds · FWD · £6.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
20.3
Chance of starting
89%
Owned by
22.7%
Points this season
10
Minutes
252

Set-piece taker

João Pedro

Chelsea · FWD · £7.7m

Projected, next 6 GW
31.5
Chance of starting
92%
Owned by
73.1%
Points this season
21
Minutes
270

The answer nobody else gives you

Calvert-Lewin is owned by 22.7% of managers, against 73.1% for João Pedro.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Calvert-Lewin and João Pedro by gameweek
GWCalvert-LewinJoão PedroDifference
43.85.9−2.0
53.65.0−1.4
62.95.4−2.5
73.35.0−1.7
83.45.4−2.0
93.44.9−1.5

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

Calvert-Lewin or João Pedro? FPL comparison · Overtake