Calvert-Lewin or João Pedro?
On projected points alone, Calvert-Lewin is ahead by 4.6 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Calvert-Lewin
Leeds · FWD · £6.1m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 26.5
- Chance of starting
- 95%
- Owned by
- 21.5%
- Points this season
- 35
- Minutes
- 683
Set-piece taker
João Pedro
Chelsea · FWD · £7.9m
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 21.9
- Chance of starting
- 56%
- Owned by
- 71.0%
- Points this season
- 47
- Minutes
- 521
The answer nobody else gives you
Calvert-Lewin is owned by 21.5% of managers, against 71.0% for João Pedro.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Calvert-Lewin | João Pedro | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4.3 | 3.4 | +0.8 |
| 10 | 4.9 | 3.5 | +1.4 |
| 11 | 3.9 | 3.8 | +0.1 |
| 12 | 4.9 | 3.5 | +1.4 |
| 13 | 3.6 | 4.2 | −0.6 |
| 14 | 4.9 | 3.4 | +1.5 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them