Hirst or João Pedro?

On projected points alone, João Pedro is ahead by 24.4 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Hirst

Ipswich Town · FWD · £5.0m

Has joined Stoke City permanently

Projected, next 6 GW
0.0
Chance of starting
0%
Owned by
0.1%
Points this season
0
Minutes
0

João Pedro

Chelsea · FWD · £7.9m

Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
24.4
Chance of starting
63%
Owned by
71.9%
Points this season
47
Minutes
521

The answer nobody else gives you

Hirst is owned by 0.1% of managers, against 71.9% for João Pedro.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Hirst and João Pedro by gameweek
GWHirstJoão PedroDifference
90.03.8−3.8
100.03.9−3.9
110.04.3−4.3
120.03.9−3.9
130.04.7−4.7
140.03.8−3.8

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Hirst or João Pedro? FPL comparison · Overtake