Thiago or João Pedro?
On projected points alone, João Pedro is ahead by 2.7 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Thiago
Brentford · FWD · £7.8m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 21.7
- Chance of starting
- 96%
- Owned by
- 8.8%
- Points this season
- 23
- Minutes
- 712
Set-piece taker
João Pedro
Chelsea · FWD · £7.9m
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 24.4
- Chance of starting
- 63%
- Owned by
- 71.9%
- Points this season
- 47
- Minutes
- 521
The answer nobody else gives you
Thiago is owned by 8.8% of managers, against 71.9% for João Pedro.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Thiago | João Pedro | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | level |
| 10 | 3.4 | 3.9 | −0.5 |
| 11 | 3.9 | 4.3 | −0.4 |
| 12 | 3.4 | 3.9 | −0.5 |
| 13 | 3.6 | 4.7 | −1.1 |
| 14 | 3.6 | 3.8 | −0.2 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them