Mateta or João Pedro?
On projected points alone, João Pedro is ahead by 14.4 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.
Mateta
Crystal Palace · FWD · £6.3m
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 7.5
- Chance of starting
- 32%
- Owned by
- 1.2%
- Points this season
- 5
- Minutes
- 152
Set-piece taker
João Pedro
Chelsea · FWD · £7.9m
Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Projected, next 6 GW
- 21.9
- Chance of starting
- 56%
- Owned by
- 70.9%
- Points this season
- 47
- Minutes
- 521
The answer nobody else gives you
Mateta is owned by 1.2% of managers, against 70.9% for João Pedro.
If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.
Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.
Check who owns them in my leagueProjected by gameweek
| GW | Mateta | João Pedro | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.2 | 3.4 | −2.2 |
| 10 | 1.2 | 3.5 | −2.3 |
| 11 | 1.3 | 3.8 | −2.5 |
| 12 | 1.4 | 3.5 | −2.1 |
| 13 | 1.1 | 4.2 | −3.1 |
| 14 | 1.2 | 3.4 | −2.2 |
Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.19 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them