OVERTAKE

João Pedro or David?

On projected points alone, João Pedro is ahead by 26.3 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

João Pedro

Chelsea · FWD · £7.7m

Projected, next 6 GW
31.5
Chance of starting
92%
Owned by
73.2%
Points this season
21
Minutes
270

David

Brighton · FWD · £6.0m

Projected, next 6 GW
5.2
Chance of starting
23%
Owned by
0.2%
Points this season
1
Minutes
23

Set-piece taker

The answer nobody else gives you

David is owned by 0.2% of managers, against 73.2% for João Pedro.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for João Pedro and David by gameweek
GWJoão PedroDavidDifference
45.90.9+4.9
55.00.9+4.1
65.40.9+4.5
75.00.9+4.1
85.40.8+4.5
94.90.8+4.1

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.29 points per player per gameweek over the last 3. How we calculate them

João Pedro or David? FPL comparison · Overtake