Kesler-Hayden or Calafiori?

On projected points alone, Calafiori is ahead by 20.3 over the next six gameweeks. That is not the whole answer.

Kesler-Hayden

Coventry City · DEF · £3.9m

Projected, next 6 GW
1.5
Chance of starting
10%
Owned by
0.1%
Points this season
1
Minutes
3

Calafiori

Arsenal · DEF · £6.0m

Hip injury - 75% chance of playing

Projected, next 6 GW
21.8
Chance of starting
71%
Owned by
53.2%
Points this season
45
Minutes
609

The answer nobody else gives you

Kesler-Hayden is owned by 0.1% of managers, against 53.2% for Calafiori.

If you are chasing someone in your mini-league, the less-owned player is usually the right pick even when he projects slightly lower — points from a player your rival also owns cancel out and cannot close the gap. If you are defending a lead, take the one your rival already has: matching them removes their chance to gain on you.

Global ownership is only a proxy. What actually matters is whether the specific people in your league own him.

Check who owns them in my league

Projected by gameweek

Projected points for Kesler-Hayden and Calafiori by gameweek
GWKesler-HaydenCalafioriDifference
90.33.3−3.0
100.24.2−4.0
110.33.6−3.3
120.23.5−3.3
130.33.6−3.3
140.23.6−3.4

Projections are ours, not FPL's. Measured error 1.21 points per player per gameweek over the last 5. How we calculate them

Kesler-Hayden or Calafiori? FPL comparison · Overtake